Category Archive for "Research"

Home »

Sasol Delays Ethylene Plant – Axiall, Westlake and Eastman Should be Paying Attention

  Last week Sasol announced a “delay” to some of its US Gulf investments and suggested that its ethylene unit would now start-up in 2019 rather than 2018. The company gave cash flow management as a reason, but this is

Read More

TMT Model Portfolio Update: What next?

January was hard on high-multiple TMT stocks, and thus, our model long portfolio, which underperformed the tech elements of the S&P 500 by -690 bp since our last update. In particular, the market reaction to signs of deceleration in demand

Read More

Cybersecurity: Trust No One

Cybersecurity attacks have been growing more sophisticated in recent years, making headlines with major breaches that have compromised the personal information of millions. However, beefed up spending on security hardware and software have done little to stop cybercrime, as more

Read More

Axiall – Asymmetric Risk Reward

  Axiall is either acting on very poor advice or has something up its sleeve. The company’s total and aggressive rejection of the bid from Westlake has opened a wide door for Westlake to walk through with a hostile bid,

Read More

Quick Thoughts: Catching the TWTR Knife

TWTR remains in a jail of its own making, languishing at multiples incongruous with its torrid sales growth and expanding margins. Given GOOGL and FB’s very strong ad growth, and press reports of sales well above plan, we expect a

Read More

The VERY Long View: The Biggest TMT Companies for 2025

Of the top 10 US TMT companies by market cap today, just 5 were on the list a decade ago. AAPL, AMZN and FB were nowhere to be seen, and GOOG had just edged onto the list at #10. Meanwhile,

Read More

TMT: Model Portfolio Update – NOW WITH SHORTS!

We have strong conviction on the near-term opportunities created by paradigmatic changes across the TMT landscape – i.e. Web scale cloud data centers, streaming on-demand media, native digital advertising, increasingly fast and efficient mobile commerce, falling competitive barriers in wireless

Read More

AMZN: Winning Christmas

With ~$250B in annual gross merchandise volume (GMV) and more than 250M active customers, AMZN, already 3x the size of its closest US online rival Ebay, is responsible for nearly 20% of global e-tail sales and is on a trajectory

Read More

TMT: 3Q Earnings – The Aftermath

3Q15 earnings season played out mostly, but not entirely, along the lines that we saw in 2Q and highlighted in our preview note from Oct 13. 1. Linear TV metrics were bad, but perhaps, not as bad as had been

Read More

Quick Thoughts: QCOM – How Many Shoes are There to Drop?

QCOM traded off 9.4% on Wednesday after revealing that the South Korean government had opened an antitrust inquiry into the company’s patent licensing practices in the country. As we have seen with Qualcomm’s protracted negotiations with the Chinese government, even

Read More
test