I have rarely seen such a gap between strong management execution and negative market sentiment. Barclays stock is down nearly 7% after the full-year conference call in London this morning; the headline earnings number had come out yesterday and been
With 2013 results and cost-cutting measures on Feb 11th, we expect Barclays to announce: (i) a 5-year target for a low-to-mid-teens return-on-equity replacing the current anemic target for a return in excess of the cost-of-equity, estimated at 11.5%, by 2016;
Conversion of the Chase consumer credit portfolio to V, which apparently had not begun in 2013, will represent a 2%+ headwind to global growth for MA in 2014 (and 6-7% headwind to US growth) assuming 80% of the portfolio migrates
We view COF’s guidance for 2014 pre-provision earnings (PPE) of $9.8bn as conservative and reiterate our 2015 EPS estimate of $7.70 (versus consensus of $7.33) and our price target of $90. Consensus appears to discount a flat net interest margin
Mobile wallets are on the cusp of mass adoption: the WSJ reports that AAPL is looking to allow consumers to use iOS mobile devices to pay for physical goods outside Apple stores with their iTunes accounts; Google Wallet will by-pass
On Friday, Visa rallied near 5% on oral arguments in front of an appeals court where judges appeared to support the Fed’s debit interchange cap of 21-24 cents/transaction in possible conflict with a district court ruling of end-July that the
The relative outperformance of MA versus V since end-July, when a Federal District Court ruled in favor of dual-routing for signature debit, is hard to explain. It is likely predicated on a share shift in signature debit from V to
Given structural change in US debit, downside risks to Visa’s multiple in 2014 exceed upside risks: Growth: We expect growth estimates for network-switched bankcard debit in the US to be reset as checks, whose displacement has provided a secular tailwind,